One of the biggest storylines of the 2025 NFL season has been the rise of the Indianapolis Colts. Leading the charge is running back Jonathan Taylor, whose totally dominant run production has sparked a growing MVP narrative. If he won, he’d be the first non-quarterback to take home the award since Adrian Peterson in 2012.Continue reading “Untangling the NFL Pt. 5: Wins Above Replacement (Skill Position)”
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Untangling the NFL Pt. 4: Wins Above Replacement (QBs)
After a couple weeks off, I’ve returned to my long-term project of quantifying value in the NFL. The reason was discouragement at the end of Part 3. I had built complex metrics (TOM for offense, TDM for defense) that seemed sound on paper, and better yet, applied some basic machine learning techniques, and yet failedContinue reading “Untangling the NFL Pt. 4: Wins Above Replacement (QBs)”